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Solar Cycle 24 Begins
Things are turning up.
The wait is over for solar physicists who have been awaiting the appearance of a reversed-polarity sunspot to signal the start of the next solar cycle.
On January 4, 2008, a magnetically reversed, high-latitude sunspot emerged marking the beginning of Solar Cycle 24 and the first step toward a new solar maximum.
Of course, intense activity on the Sun won't begin right away. Solar cycles usually take a few years to build from solar minimum – and that's where we are now in 2008 – to solar maximum, which is expected in 2011 or 2012. Cycle 24 probably will end in 2018.
Sunspots are super-hot storms on the face of the Sun. The peak of the previous cycle 23 was in the year 2000.
NOTE: you never should look directly at the Sun for any reason. Doing so can damage your eyesight. At any rate, sunspots generally are invisible to the naked eye. Of course, their effect can be seen as they light up Earth's northern skies with Aurora Borealis.
Solar Cycles. No human has visited the surface of the Sun, of course, but from Earth we can see sunspots varying on the face of the Sun in eleven-year activity cycles. They have been watched for centuries, but only recently have scientists understood that they eject hot electromagnetic plasma.
When our star spews out electromagnetic radiation from a sunspot, a lot of that energy arrives at Earth. As plasma and high-energy particles from the Sun light up Earth's ionosphere, our orbiting detectors and other scientific equipment compose an early-warning system that helps us keep satellites working in space and power grids safe down on the surface of our planet.
Cycle Numbers. Scientists have been numbering the solar cycles since 1755. The last sunspot cycle was number 23. The new one starting up is number 24. Here are the dates for the cycles:
Number Began Ended 1 March 1755 June 1766 2 June 1766 June 1775 3 June 1775 September 1784 4 September 1784 May 1798 5 May 1798 December 1810 6 December 1810 May 1823 7 May 1823 November 1833 8 November 1833 July 1843 9 July 1843 December 1855 10 December 1855 March 1867 11 March 1867 December 1878 12 December 1878 March 1890
Number Began Ended 13 March 1890 February 1902 14 February 1902 August 1913 15 August 1913 August 1923 16 August 1923 September 1933 17 September 1933 February 1944 18 February 1944 April 1954 19 April 1954 October 1964 20 October 1964 June 1976 21 June 1976 September 1986 22 September 1986 May 1996 23 May 1996 December 2007 24 January 2008 circa2018
The previous maximum. Solar scientists calculated that the Sun reached the peak of its most-recent eleven-year sunspot activity cycle in April 2000. The so-called "solar maximum" is the two-to-three year period around the peak of activity when the Sun appears most tempestuous and Earth is buffeted with powerful solar gusts. That was solar cycle 23.
Chart depicting the progression of the solar cycle »
Frequently asked questions about solar indices »
Cycle 23 like Cycle 20. Solar scientists suggest that Cycle 23 turned out to be much like Cycle 20 in the way it rose and fell. Cycle 20 took about four years to reach peak and about seven years to descend to minimum.
Charts for solar cycles 1 - 20 »
Magnetic flip. An additional indication that Cycle 23 peaked in the year 2000 came in a NASA report in February 2001 that the Sun's magnetic field had flipped. That means that Sun's north pole, which had been in the northern hemisphere of the Sun before the flip, then was in the southern hemisphere.The flip really wasn't a surprise since it seems to happen at the peak of each solar cycle.
Examples of the Negative Effects of Sunspots
Sunspots throw masses of coronal material out from the Sun. The particles take three days to reach Earth where the mass of plasma can send satellites tumbling and stress power systems down on our planet's surface.
In the 20th century, the solar maximum was known to have changed the computer programming inside orbiting satellites and shut down power grids on Earth's surface.
Space is not a vacuum. In our Solar System, it's filled with plasma – a low-density gas of charged atoms.
The Sun's temperature is so high that our star's powerful gravity can't hold onto its gas. On a typical day, plasma streams out from the Sun in all directions at about a million miles per hour – the solar wind.
Solar astronomers think of those typical days as quiet. Occasionally, there are non-typical days when humongous explosions on the surface of the Sun – coronal mass ejections – fire material outward at up to ten times the speed of quiet days.
As the CME matter spreads out rapidly from the Sun, it drives a shock-wave that excites the quiet particles it hits to high energy levels.
When a shock-wave passes Earth, our planet's magnetosphere is disturbed causing a geomagnetic storm.
After the 1989-91 problems, NASA, NOAA and other government agencies rushed to set up an early-warning system. Predictions are much better today, but not yet perfect.
- The Challenger disaster of 1986 had set shuttle flights back three years. NASA had to loft the Hubble Space Telescope in a shuttle, but had trouble scheduling a launch. There was a shortage of fuel and competing demands for rides pushed the flight to a time when the Sun was blossoming with sunspots. An eleven-year peak in the sunspot cycle was approaching. Those exploding gases on our star heated Earth's upper atmosphere, expanded it deeper into space and caused extra drag on satellites. That threatened to pull the 12-ton, 43-ft. Hubble down to a lower orbit from which it might fall to Earth like a meteor. The sunspots gave NASA an exasperating choice -- launch Hubble so high a shuttle might not be able to reach it for repair, or launch it so low shuttles would have to fly every six months to boost it higher. The agency decided to delay launch to prevent frequent service flights. At last, Hubble was loaded aboard Discovery and on April 24, 1990, ferried to an orbit.
Latest on the Hubble Space Telescope today »
- Solar storms during the period of peak sunspots in 1989-91 caused power failures in Canada and Sweden, made some computers crash in the United States, and destroyed or damaged several satellites.
- During the sunspot peak in 1989, a blast of solar energy arriving at Earth shut down the electrical power grid in the Canadian province of Quebec, leaving six million customers in the dark for a day.
- Global Positioning System (GPS) satellites tell users where they are within a few feet. That could cause problems for airplanes landing if, for instance, solar energy caused the GPS satellites to provide less accurate data for a few hours.
- Power operators along the East Coast of North America were alerted to respond promptly to a solar burp in July 2000. They cut the output from their generators to avoid overloads. Even so, their transformers overheated and circuit breakers tripped.
Satellites Report Outbursts. As the Sun's most recent stormy season peaked in the year 2000, solar scientists used their coordinated fleet of satellites and ground observatories to watch out for angry outbursts of solar radiation and predict the impact of turbulent space weather.
By combining improved new instruments with time-tested older equipment, researchers are able to make timely predictions of space weather events more accurately. Data from space feed directly into NOAA computer programs for forecasting space weather and its effects on Earth systems.
- The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), a project of the European Space Agency and NASA, and NOAA's Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES), in July 2000 tracked and predicted an intense solar storm nicknamed the "Bastille Day event."
Bastille Day, on July 14, is the French symbol of the end of its monarchy and the beginning of the First Republic.
Adding data from observatories on the ground, scientists predicted a bright solar flare and its energetic proton shower July 13. The flare coincided with a coronal mass ejection, which sent billions of tons of plasma into space traveling at four million miles per hour, two times faster than normal.
Satellite views »
- The Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) satellite, orbiting above Earth, detects the shock waves of particles arriving at the outer edge of our planet's atmosphere. A shock wave is the leading edge of an ejection that is something like a wave you might see pushing in front of a boat in water. NOAA space weather forecasters, using ACE data, can provide a one hour notice before the start of a geomagnetic storm. That is, about one hour's notice before the shock waves pound into Earth's magnetosphere -- the magnetic barrier that surrounds our planet. The shock waves cause an effect like the striking of a bell. Vibrations move up and down the entire magnetosphere.
Unfortunately, the "Bastille Day" solar shower blinded some of the key detectors inside ACE itself. Without reliable data, NOAA space weather forecasters had to wait until Earth's magnetic field became distorted before they knew that the disturbance had arrived.
That "G5" geomagnetic storm -- the most intense classification -- raged for nearly nine hours after the solar shower impact. Its effects were widespread. Cameras and star-tracking navigation devices on several satellites were flooded with solar particles. Measurements from particle detectors and other instruments on several NOAA and NASA satellites were either degraded or shut down temporarily. The Japanese Advanced Satellite for Cosmology and Astrophysics (ASCA) was sent tumbling in orbit.
On the ground, aurora light shows could be seen as far south as El Paso, Texas. Power companies' delivery systems suffered overloads of geomagnetically induced currents that tripped capacitors and damaged at least one transformer. GPS satellite accuracy was degraded for several hours. The July 2000 "Bastille Day event" had surprised users who hadn't seen such solar activity for a decade.
Satellite views »
- The Imager for Magnetosphere to Aurora Global Exploration (IMAGE) satellite photographed the effect of the shock wave on Earth's aurora, which lit up in a very spectacular way.
Learn more about the Sun:
- NASA Scientists Predict Big Solar Cycle NASA Science News
- Solar Cycle 24 Begins NASA Science News
- Solar Cycle 24 Prediction NOAA/Space Environment Center
- Solar Cycle Progression NOAA/Space Environment Center
- Propagation Resource Center sunspots, X-ray solar flares, space weather, geomagnetic readings
- Visual Space Weather and propagation
- NOAA Space Weather Scales Space Environment Center
- Views of the Sun as seen by various watch dog satellites during the 'Bastille Day' event
- Sun and sunspots main page
- How sunspots affect radio signals
- Learn more about sunspots and their effects on Earth
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